Werder Bremen III vs Melchiorshausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
WEY
0 - 4
WER
13%
17%
70%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 2
WER
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
WER
4 - 0
HAB
79%
13%
8%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SGA
2 - 1
WER
15%
18%
68%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
WER
7 - 0
GRO
85%
11%
5%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Melchiorshausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 0
SCH
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
OBE
1 - 2
MEL
65%
19%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
MEL
3 - 2
BRI
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | +4 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 1
WUL
19%
21%
60%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 4
OST
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -2 |