Werder Bremen III vs Melchiorshausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TUR
1 - 12
WER
15%
18%
68%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
OSC
2 - 3
WER
32%
22%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
WER
7 - 2
OST
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
WER
7 - 0
SCH
82%
13%
6%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
VFL
0 - 3
WER
15%
18%
67%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Melchiorshausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 4
GRO
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 0
MEL
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
MEL
4 - 4
HAB
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
OSC
2 - 0
MEL
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BLU
6 - 3
MEL
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |