Werder Bremen III vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BTN
2 - 1
WER
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
WER
2 - 3
SCH
27%
20%
53%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BRE
10 - 0
WER
91%
6%
3%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
WER
1 - 6
OBE
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
HAB
1 - 4
WER
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SGA
1 - 0
BLU
45%
21%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SGA
2 - 3
LEH
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HAS
6 - 3
SGA
70%
15%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SGA
4 - 1
OSC
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GEE
4 - 3
SGA
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |