Werder Bremen III vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
WUL
1 - 2
WER
8%
14%
78%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WER
5 - 1
BUR
88%
9%
4%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
WER
11%
16%
73%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WER
4 - 0
WOL
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BLU
1 - 2
WER
20%
20%
60%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SGA
3 - 0
HAB
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TUR
0 - 6
SGA
13%
16%
71%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SGA
2 - 3
OBE
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SGA
4 - 1
SCH
82%
12%
7%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
WUL
2 - 5
SGA
13%
16%
71%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | +1 |