Werder Bremen III vs Schwachhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
73.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
16º
36
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
WER
1 - 4
SGA
8%
14%
78%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TKA
3 - 1
WER
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WER
3 - 1
VAT
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
OSC
3 - 0
WER
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
WOL
7 - 2
WER
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Schwachhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 1
GEE
21%
19%
61%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
OBE
4 - 0
SCH
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 3
SGA
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 4
BRI
22%
19%
59%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BTN
7 - 1
SCH
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |