Werder Bremen III vs OSC Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
78.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
16º
60
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WER
2 - 5
WOL
11%
15%
74%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GEE
5 - 0
WER
87%
9%
5%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WER
0 - 6
OBE
11%
15%
75%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 4
WER
88%
9%
4%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WER
1 - 2
BTN
23%
21%
57%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OSC
0 - 4
GEE
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
OBE
0 - 2
OSC
49%
20%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OSC
1 - 1
SGA
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BTN
2 - 3
OSC
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OSC
3 - 2
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |