Werder Bremen III vs Oberneuland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
74.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
16º
69
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 4
WER
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WER
1 - 2
BTN
23%
21%
57%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
WER
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
WER
3 - 1
LEH
24%
20%
56%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
3 - 0
WER
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Oberneuland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
1 - 2
GEE
60%
18%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
10 - 0
WOL
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SGA
4 - 1
OBE
41%
21%
39%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
5 - 0
BTN
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 4
OBE
38%
21%
41%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |