Werder Bremen III vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
48.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
SGA
4 - 1
WER
54%
19%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
WER
0 - 4
BTN
83%
11%
7%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
WER
3 - 3
BLU
38%
22%
41%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
WER
2 - 3
VFL
90%
7%
3%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
HAB
0 - 5
WER
25%
20%
54%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
GEE
2 - 2
HAS
30%
21%
49%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
LEH
2 - 4
GEE
24%
19%
56%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GEE
6 - 1
GRO
89%
8%
3%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SGA
2 - 5
GEE
53%
19%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
GEE
3 - 1
BRE
5%
9%
87%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +6 |