Werder Bremen III vs FC Sparta Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
BRI
0 - 4
WER
40%
23%
36%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
OBE
3 - 1
WER
11%
15%
74%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
WER
6 - 1
MEL
87%
10%
4%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
TUR
1 - 12
WER
15%
18%
68%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
OSC
2 - 3
WER
32%
22%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sparta Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FCB
1 - 2
GRO
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
FCB
1 - 0
OST
79%
13%
7%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
SGA
1 - 2
FCB
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
FCB
0 - 4
BRI
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
BLU
4 - 4
FCB
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |