Werder Bremen III vs Burg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+147%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
VFL
1 - 3
WER
12%
16%
72%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
WER
3 - 4
BLU
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
OSC
1 - 2
WER
27%
22%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
WER
3 - 0
WUL
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
HAB
1 - 3
WER
12%
16%
71%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Burg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 1
WEY
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
VFL
0 - 3
BUR
74%
15%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BUR
2 - 5
BLU
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
OSC
2 - 0
BUR
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BUR
3 - 2
WUL
23%
22%
54%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |