Werder Bremen III vs Brinkumer SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.3%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
83.4%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.8%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+165%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
16º
33
9º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TSS
3 - 0
WER
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
WER
2 - 6
SVH
9%
14%
77%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
WER
87%
9%
5%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WER
2 - 4
BLU
31%
21%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WER
2 - 1
TKA
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Brinkumer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 6
GEE
62%
18%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
OBE
5 - 1
BRI
36%
21%
43%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -3 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
BTN
85%
10%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SGA
0 - 1
BRI
34%
21%
45%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 2
BRI
18%
18%
65%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |