Werder Bremen III vs Blumenthaler SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
48.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
16º
34
6º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WER
2 - 1
TKA
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VAT
5 - 0
WER
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WER
1 - 3
OSC
9%
13%
78%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WER
2 - 5
WOL
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GEE
5 - 0
WER
87%
9%
5%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
OBE
2 - 0
BLU
83%
11%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BLU
1 - 3
SGA
15%
17%
68%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BTN
1 - 2
BLU
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BLU
0 - 1
UNI
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LEH
4 - 4
BLU
51%
20%
29%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |