Werder Bremen II vs Vahr-Blockdiek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
1º
1º
33
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 5
WER
3%
10%
88%
|
49 | 16 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WER
12 - 0
TRB
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
WER
3 - 0
WOL
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WER
8 - 0
GEE
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
0 - 4
WER
32%
22%
46%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vahr-Blockdiek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 2
OBE
18%
17%
65%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 3
VAB
30%
21%
49%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VAB
1 - 1
UNI
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OSC
3 - 1
VAB
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VAB
2 - 1
SGA
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |