Werder Bremen II vs OSC Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
1º
1º
61
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
WER
10 - 0
SGA
75%
15%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
WER
6 - 0
BTN
87%
9%
4%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SVH
0 - 11
WER
34%
21%
45%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
WER
5 - 2
BLU
87%
9%
4%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LEH
2 - 4
WER
4%
11%
85%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 2
OSC
47%
22%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
OSC
2 - 0
UNI
75%
15%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OSC
3 - 2
GEE
62%
18%
20%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SGA
4 - 0
OSC
36%
22%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
OSC
5 - 3
VAT
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +2 |