Werder Bremen II vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
15º
4º
8
8º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 67 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 64 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 63 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 63 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 51 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
|
15º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 44 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 34 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 34 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 34 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 34 |
18º
|
14% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STP
1 - 5
WER
17%
19%
64%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
WER
1 - 2
TOD
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
WER
4 - 1
MEP
36%
23%
40%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VFB
0 - 3
WER
38%
23%
39%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
WER
3 - 4
BWL
66%
18%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
5 - 0
VFB
42%
24%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BWL
3 - 2
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
JED
2 - 2
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
BSV
33%
25%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 1
HAM
68%
18%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |