Werder Bremen II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
WER
0 - 2
PAD
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
KÖL
1 - 3
WER
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
WER
2 - 1
DRE
56%
23%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
CHE
3 - 1
WER
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
WER
1 - 2
KFC
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
F95
3 - 2
VER
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
PAD
1 - 1
F95
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
KÖL
3 - 2
F95
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
F95
1 - 1
ROT
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
F95
0 - 3
BAY
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |