Werder Bremen II vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
BOR
2 - 2
WER
46%
23%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
WER
1 - 1
DRE
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
HOL
3 - 2
WER
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
WER
1 - 1
HAM
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
VER
1 - 3
WER
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 2
PAD
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
KFC
2 - 0
ERZ
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
ERZ
1 - 1
OSN
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
BAY
4 - 1
ERZ
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
ERZ
1 - 1
DIE
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |