Werder Bremen II vs Eintracht Norderstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
15º
4º
11
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 67 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 64 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 63 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 63 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 61 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 51 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 44 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 43 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 43 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 42 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 41 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 34 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 34 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 34 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 34 |
18º
|
14% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HAV
4 - 3
WER
24%
22%
54%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
WER
4 - 2
BSV
81%
12%
7%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
WER
15%
16%
70%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
WER
1 - 4
ROD
68%
17%
15%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
TOD
0 - 3
WER
27%
21%
52%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Norderstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 0
VFB
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 1
GUT
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
EIN
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 7
EIN
18%
19%
63%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 5
EIN
24%
21%
55%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |