Werder Bremen II vs BW Lohne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
15º
4º
14
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 69 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 65 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 65 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 59 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 48 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 46 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 44 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 42 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 42 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 41 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 37 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 36 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 34 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 34 |
17º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 32 |
18º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BSV
5 - 1
WER
40%
23%
37%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OTT
1 - 3
WER
25%
21%
54%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WER
1 - 1
EIN
70%
17%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HAV
4 - 3
WER
24%
22%
54%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
WER
4 - 2
BSV
81%
12%
7%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
BW Lohne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BWL
1 - 0
VFB
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BSV
1 - 1
BWL
66%
19%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BWL
2 - 0
FCP
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
OTT
1 - 1
BWL
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BWL
2 - 4
BSV
49%
23%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |