Werder Bremen II vs BW Lohne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
15º
14º
47
9º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
45 | 45 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
43 | 43 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
15 | 15 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
WER
1 - 2
FCP
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EIN
0 - 0
WER
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DRO
1 - 1
WER
34%
24%
43%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 2
WER
8%
15%
77%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DRO
2 - 2
WER
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
BW Lohne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BWL
1 - 5
PRE
9%
15%
76%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BWL
3 - 0
MEP
78%
14%
9%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
BWL
0 - 2
OSN
7%
12%
81%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
FCP
0 - 0
BWL
51%
23%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
BWL
2 - 3
HAM
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |