Werder Bremen II vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
WUP
2 - 0
WER
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
WER
2 - 2
MAG
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
SGD
1 - 4
WER
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
WER
0 - 1
ERF
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
F95
2 - 2
WER
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
BOR
1 - 1
LUB
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
WUP
2 - 1
BOR
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BOR
1 - 3
MAG
47%
26%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
SGD
2 - 1
BOR
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BOR
0 - 1
ERF
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |