Welzenegg vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welzenegg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
EAC
0 - 1
WEL
63%
20%
17%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
WEL
0 - 1
BLE
11%
18%
72%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SCL
2 - 0
WEL
64%
20%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
WEL
2 - 4
WAC
18%
23%
60%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 1
WEL
82%
13%
6%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
RAP
0 - 2
MSA
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
SPI
1 - 2
RAP
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
RAP
0 - 0
VEI
25%
23%
51%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
WOL
4 - 0
RAP
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
RAP
2 - 1
GRI
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |