Welzenegg vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Welzenegg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
SCL
2 - 0
WEL
64%
20%
16%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
WEL
2 - 4
WAC
18%
23%
60%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 1
WEL
82%
13%
6%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MSA
4 - 0
WEL
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
WEL
0 - 0
SPI
16%
21%
63%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BLE
3 - 0
MSA
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
SPI
0 - 0
BLE
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BLE
1 - 2
VEI
42%
24%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WOL
2 - 3
BLE
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
BLE
3 - 2
GRI
70%
17%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |