Hogo Wels II vs Union Perg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
15º
15º
33
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 56% |
|
Possible next round
|
98.5% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STM
12 - 0
WEL
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 3
UNI
38%
23%
40%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SVZ
3 - 0
WEL
57%
19%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
0 - 8
SVW
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
PWD
2 - 0
WEL
57%
20%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
UNP
1 - 1
OST
58%
21%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 0
UNP
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
STM
4 - 1
UNP
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UNP
0 - 1
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SVZ
3 - 1
UNP
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |