Hogo Wels II vs SV Friedburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
39.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+121%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
16º
16º
44
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 0
WEL
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 2
SPG
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 4
OED
13%
17%
71%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GRU
1 - 0
WEL
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
WEA
4 - 0
WEL
72%
16%
13%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SV Friedburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SVF
2 - 3
WEA
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PWD
1 - 2
SVF
75%
14%
11%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
SVF
69%
17%
15%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
UNP
2 - 2
SVF
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SVF
3 - 1
ASV
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |