Hogo Wels II vs St. Martin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
WEL
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 5
UNI
33%
25%
42%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
UNP
2 - 2
WEL
56%
22%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 2
VOC
17%
23%
61%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 0
WEL
40%
25%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Martin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 3
GRU
44%
22%
34%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
DON
1 - 0
SSM
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SSM
2 - 3
UNI
47%
22%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
GRI
4 - 1
SSM
72%
15%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 0
MAR
50%
22%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |