Hogo Wels II vs Oedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
51.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
15º
15º
65
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
UMA
5 - 2
WEL
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 2
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 1
WEL
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
7 - 0
STA
90%
7%
3%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GRU
8 - 0
WEL
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -4 |
Matches
Oedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
OED
2 - 0
OST
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
UNP
1 - 3
OED
16%
20%
65%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OED
2 - 2
STM
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
OED
23%
22%
56%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
OED
3 - 2
SVZ
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |