Hogo Wels II vs Gurten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
74.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
TBG
6 - 0
WEL
92%
6%
2%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
WEL
1 - 5
WEI
8%
14%
78%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
SPI
1 - 1
WEL
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
WEL
1 - 1
STU
6%
13%
81%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | +3 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
STA
2 - 2
WEL
89%
8%
4%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gurten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
GUR
1 - 1
DLB
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GUR
1 - 1
ANN
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
GUR
0 - 2
KAL
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NEU
1 - 1
GUR
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
GUR
1 - 3
ALT
9%
17%
74%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |