Hogo Wels II vs Donau Linz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
WEL
0 - 3
GUR
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 4
WEL
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
WEL
1 - 1
BAD
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
GRI
2 - 1
WEL
37%
25%
39%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
WEL
3 - 1
STM
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Donau Linz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
DON
1 - 0
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 0
DON
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
DON
1 - 2
GRI
37%
25%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STM
3 - 1
DON
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
DON
2 - 3
NEU
57%
23%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |