Hogo Wels II vs Bad Schallerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
16º
16º
49
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SPG
2 - 0
WEL
55%
21%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
UNP
0 - 2
WEL
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 1
STM
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
UNI
10 - 1
WEL
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 3
SVZ
38%
21%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Schallerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
BAD
3 - 1
WEA
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
BAD
2 - 3
WAT
3%
8%
90%
|
12 | 78 | 66 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
BAD
1 - 4
UNP
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
DON
2 - 0
BAD
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
BAD
1 - 4
STF
33%
24%
43%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |