Hogo Wels II vs Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAD
0 - 1
WEL
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
WEL
1 - 3
STA
33%
24%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
WEL
1 - 0
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 3
WEL
35%
25%
40%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
WEL
0 - 0
UNI
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 2
GMU
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
DON
1 - 1
BAD
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
NEU
0 - 1
BAD
48%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BAD
2 - 1
STM
67%
17%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BAD
5 - 0
SIE
71%
17%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |