Hogo Wels II vs SU Bad Leonfelden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
13º
16º
16º
36
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hogo Wels II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SVF
2 - 1
WEL
61%
18%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WEL
0 - 0
BAD
52%
20%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SPG
2 - 0
WEL
55%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
UNP
0 - 2
WEL
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 1
STM
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SU Bad Leonfelden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
PWD
1 - 1
SBL
91%
6%
2%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SBL
1 - 0
UNP
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | +2 |