Wellington United vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HNW
1 - 4
WUF
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 2
MIR
5%
11%
84%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
WSU
2 - 1
WUF
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WUF
4 - 2
WKA
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
NAP
4 - 0
WUF
83%
11%
7%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 0
NWA
92%
6%
2%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 4
HNW
58%
19%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MIR
5 - 1
NWA
93%
6%
2%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
NWA
5 - 1
WSU
18%
18%
64%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +3 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WKA
1 - 2
NWA
65%
17%
18%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |