Wellington Phoenix vs Western United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
3º
7
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
69.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
WPH
0 - 0
CCM
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
WPH
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 2
WPH
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 1
MEL
41%
25%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PER
3 - 4
WPH
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Western United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
WUF
2 - 2
SYD
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WUF
0 - 1
WES
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
MFC
3 - 3
WUF
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 2
MCI
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 0
WUF
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |