Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
MEL
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
BRI
4 - 1
WPH
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 1
WPH
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
PER
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
WPH
3 - 0
NEW
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SYD
4 - 1
NOR
58%
24%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SYD
1 - 3
NEW
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
SYD
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GOL
1 - 0
SYD
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SYD
3 - 1
WPH
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |