Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
WPH
3 - 0
NEW
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SYD
3 - 1
WPH
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
WPH
6 - 0
GOL
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 1
WPH
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 0
WPH
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PER
1 - 2
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 1
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
GOL
2 - 1
PER
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
ADE
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
NOR
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |