Wellington Phoenix vs North Queensland Fury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
WPH
57%
22%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
ADE
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SYD
2 - 0
WPH
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BRI
1 - 1
WPH
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
WPH
2 - 1
PER
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
North Queensland Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SYD
0 - 1
NOR
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 1
BRI
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
ADE
3 - 3
NOR
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
0 - 1
MEL
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GOL
5 - 0
NOR
44%
28%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |