Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
10º
6º
29
3º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
CCM
1 - 1
WPH
54%
23%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
WUF
0 - 3
WPH
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
WPH
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 1
WPH
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 2
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 3
WUF
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
NEW
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
MEL
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 0
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |