Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
1 - 1
SYD
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
3 - 0
BRI
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
1 - 1
ADE
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
46%
25%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
WPH
3 - 1
MFC
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
WUF
2 - 1
NEW
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 2
MFC
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
WES
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
MCI
3 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |