Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 0
WPH
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
WPH
4 - 0
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CCM
1 - 0
WPH
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
WPH
2 - 0
MEL
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 1
WPH
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
GOL
5 - 1
NEW
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 2
CCM
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 3
NEW
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
SYD
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 1
NEW
56%
24%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |