A-League Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 0
WPH
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WPH
3 - 0
MFC
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
WPH
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
WPH
61%
20%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 0
WPH
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 1
MCI
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 4
WES
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 0
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |