Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
WPH
1 - 1
BRI
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
CCM
2 - 0
WPH
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 0
WPH
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2008 |
WPH
0 - 2
SYD
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
NEW
2 - 3
WPH
48%
27%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
SYD
0 - 0
MEL
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 1
CHO
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
CDR
1 - 1
MEL
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2008 |
GAM
2 - 0
MEL
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 4
GAM
24%
22%
54%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |