Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Heart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 1
WPH
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 1
WPH
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
0 - 1
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
4 - 2
SYD
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
ADE
2 - 0
WPH
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
BRI
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
PER
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
MEL
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 3
ADE
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |