Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
3º
18
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
15.5% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
69.5% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 66% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
WPH
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
WPH
61%
20%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 0
BRI
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WPH
2 - 1
SYD
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
SYD
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 2
MFC
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WUF
4 - 2
MFC
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 3
WES
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
MFC
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |