Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
WPH
4 - 1
MEL
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
WPH
1 - 1
BRI
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
WES
4 - 3
WPH
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
WPH
3 - 0
PER
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 2
WPH
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
MFC
2 - 1
WUF
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 0
MFC
61%
21%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
CCM
2 - 0
MFC
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SYD
0 - 1
MFC
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
WUF
4 - 1
MFC
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |