Wellington Phoenix vs Gold Coast United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 1
WPH
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CCM
2 - 0
WPH
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
WPH
0 - 2
BRI
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 2
WPH
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WPH
3 - 1
MEL
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gold Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 1
MEL
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 3
CCM
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
GOL
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 2
ADE
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2012 |
PER
4 - 0
GOL
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |