Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
MCI
3 - 1
WPH
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 1
WPH
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
WPH
0 - 0
BRI
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2015 |
CCM
3 - 1
WPH
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
ADE
3 - 0
WPH
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CCM
1 - 2
WES
26%
28%
45%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ADE
3 - 1
CCM
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
CCM
3 - 3
MEL
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2015 |
CCM
3 - 1
WPH
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
SYD
4 - 1
CCM
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |