Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
3º
17
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
15.5% | 1% |
|
Next round
|
69.5% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WPH
2 - 1
SYD
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 0
WPH
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
WPH
3 - 2
ADE
49%
24%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
WPH
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
WPH
46%
25%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 2
MFC
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 1
BRI
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 2
MEL
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
WUF
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PER
3 - 2
BRI
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |