Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1416%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
10º
10º
33
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 51 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 44 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 42 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
33 | 41 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 40 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 40 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
49% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 9% |
|
Next round
|
16% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 40% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PER
0 - 2
WPH
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 1
WUF
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
WPH
59%
21%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
WPH
0 - 2
WES
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
WPH
2 - 0
WEL
75%
15%
9%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
SYD
18%
23%
59%
|
11 | 75 | 64 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
BRI
16%
21%
64%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 2
AFC
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 64 | 57 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WES
4 - 2
AFC
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 69 | 61 | -1 |