Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
6º
3º
18
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
15.5% | 3.5% |
|
Next round
|
69.5% | 58.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 38% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PER
0 - 0
WPH
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
WPH
46%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
WPH
2 - 0
WUF
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
WPH
0 - 0
CCM
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
WPH
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 2
WES
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
48%
24%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 3
PER
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ADE
0 - 4
CCM
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 0
ADE
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |